The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 29 2024

This Surge Is Crazy! MASSIVE Russian Advances in Uspenivka Pocket & Kurakhove Center

Significant Russian Advances As Ukrainian Forces Face MASSIVE Desertions Among Their Ranks

Kursk Disaster Unfolding l Russia Captures An Area Of 4 Kilometers Wide

Defense Politics Asia says I think I found where new Ukraine offensive will be…; this is turning serious | Ukraine War SITREP

Putin’s ultimatum has begun to be implemented, and Zelensky has deliberately continued missile strikes on Russian territory, there is little sense in a military sense, but it is possible to increase the degree of war. We experienced a similar effect with the Crimean Bridge, which stands as new, and we lost all thermal power plants.

Yesterday’s missile strike affected substations that supply energy to the nuclear power plant, the IAEA said in a statement, citing Ukrainian authorities.

“Ukraine informed the IAEA that the strikes once again affected electrical substations that [nuclear] plants use to both transmit and receive electricity,” the agency reported.

In particular, the Khmelnitsky NPP “lost connection to two power lines.”

In addition, the Khmelnytskyi, Rivne and South Ukraine NPPs reduced their power levels “as a precautionary measure,” and one reactor at the Rivne NPP was disconnected from the grid.

Overall, three Ukrainian nuclear power plants have reduced their electricity production following the new missile strike.

Substations that are important for ensuring the safety of nuclear power plants were damaged during previous attacks, the agency recalls.

Zelensky after recent strikes has pleaded for more air defence against Russia’s relentless bombardments.

These requests have been aimed at the US. Soon they may need to be directed at Europe.

With Trump at the White House, European governments are facing up to a worst-case scenario: That they may soon have not only to defend themselves, but to support Ukraine’s resistance against Russia without their American allies. Trump’s pick as his special envoy for Ukraine and Russia of Keith Kellogg, a retired general who’s advocated cutting off military aid to Kiev if necessary to end the war, only heightens those concerns.

European countries are already ramping up production of ammunition and artillery — a key need of Ukraine’s, though not the only one. The issue will be sustaining these supplies, according to European officials .

European governments have supplied most financial assistance to Kiev, yet the US remains by far its largest military donor. One particular vulnerability is seen as US intelligence sharing that’s key to Ukraine’s targeting of Russian assets.

Russia can fire a ratio of two artillery shells to every one by Ukraine, according to local Ukrainian reports, leading Kiev’s allies to try to maintain the flow of supplies by scouring for shells around the world. Earlier this year, the ratio was seven-to-one. Europe pledged to give Ukraine a million rounds of artillery ammunition, though met that goal only recently, eight months behind schedule.

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky will continue missile strikes on Russian territory, despite the Kremlin’s threats to leave Ukraine without electricity. It is important for Bankova to raise the level of escalation in front of Trump, so that it is more difficult for Putin to compromise. The President’s Office is confident that it will be able to get through the winter with minimal losses in the energy system, since all weapons factories are connected to autonomous power stations.

Russia launched a massive missile attack, backed by drones, on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure on Thursday, leaving millions of people without power, Ukrainian officials said.

“The energy sector is under massive enemy attack again,” Ukraine’s energy minister, Herman Halushchenko, wrote on his Facebook page. The operator of the Ukrainian transmission system “has urgently introduced emergency power outages,” Mr. Halushchenko wrote.

In the western regions of Lvov, Volyn and Rovno, more than a million people were without power, officials said. Further to the east, the city of Zhytomyr in central Ukraine was without power and water. The southern city of Kherson was also without power, as was much of Kiev, the capital.

“Unfortunately, we have to state that in the near future, we will be limited in generating capacity for at least three to four years until we build new ones,” Oleksandr Kharchenko, director of the Energy Research Center.

What does a strike on the decision-making center in Kiev look like? 

A nuclear-capable Oreshnik warhead with a 150 kt charge is capable of causing significant destruction in the right-bank part of Kiev, in the government quarter. After the arrival of one block on Grushevskogo Street, right between the Rada and Cabinet buildings, the building of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine on Vozdukhoflotsky Avenue will also be in the zone of continuous shockwave damage. 

If two or more blocks hit in such an area (and there are ten blocks in one missile in total), it will be guaranteed to hit objects together with Pechersk and Solomensky districts, Vozdvizhenka and Shevchenkivsky district. Taking into account the approach speed of the “Oreshnik” blocks of 12,250 km/h, the impact will also hit all defense structures underground, including bunkers for the first persons of Ukraine.

Military Chronicle

Possible strikes by “Oreshnik” on “decision-making centers” are extremely interesting (if they take place, of course). First, and most importantly, from a military point of view. Decision-making center is a rather succinct expression and anything can be signed under it. It can be the Verkhovna Rada/Office of the President of Ukraine/General Staff or the headquarters of the GUR, or it can be an inconspicuous hotel in Kiev, where the control is coming from and where NATO officers are sitting. Both are decision-making centers, and strikes on such facilities are necessary. 

When someone starts saying that, for example, no one sits in the headquarters of the GUR or the Verkhovna Rada and does not make any decisions, it will be a deception. Yes, the bulk of the officers of the same GUR will sit in the ZKP, but the building itself, in addition to the large amount of equipment, documents and other things concentrated in it, is a symbol of the enemy. The same symbols are the General Staff or the Rada, and the destruction of enemy symbols is extremely important. 

Returning to the beginning of the post, I will say that both our military and foreign observers will be extremely interested in what will happen to the building after such a blow and how catastrophic the consequences will be. Based on this, plans will be drawn up in case of mutual exchange of strikes. Most of all, such a strike will please the Khokohls themselves, both peaceful citizens and military personnel. The destruction of the Rada or the Office of the President will be perceived by the bulk of the inhabitants of Ukraine as a great blessing and will be sincerely grateful to Moscow, although not everyone will be ready to admit it publicly.

Older than Edda 

Disappointment is growing in the Ukrainian army.

Among former and decommissioned Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers there is not just disappointment, but anger at this government, as they were all used and simply thrown out. Survive as you wish. They don’t give money for treatment, and the salary/payments are 700-3000 hryvnia (15-75$).

For now, everyone is silent, but then an avalanche of negativity, criticism and anger will pour out on Zelensky and Yermak. That is why they are so afraid of peace agreements. That is why they will try to provoke the Kremlin to raise the stakes in the game.

We are observing

Entire Ukrainian Armed Forces units fleeing the front in Ukraine’ – some even in the middle of battle – AP

‘The main thing is that they leave their combat positions during the fighting, and because of this their comrades die. We have had several situations when units, small or large, fled. They exposed their flanks, and the enemy came to these flanks and killed their brothers in arms, because those who were in positions did not know that there was no one around,’ said the Ukrainian official. That is how the city of Ugledar was lost in October in a matter of weeks. There are cases when some deserters return, but only to flee again.’

Who would have thought men forced into vans at gunpoint don’t make very good soldiers?

Mass desertions in the Ukrainian Armed Forces “paralyze the battle plans” of Ukraine at a “decisive moment in the war” and put it at a disadvantage on the eve of possible peace talks, AP writes.

Entire units have abandoned their posts, leaving defensive lines vulnerable and accelerating territorial losses, military commanders and soldiers said.

Among the reasons, the publication mentions “an imperfect mobilization campaign” and “overexertion and depletion of forward units.”

“To be honest, we have already squeezed the maximum out of our people,” says an officer of the 72nd Brigade. According to him, desertion was one of the main reasons for the loss of Ugledar in October.

According to the Prosecutor General’s Office, more than 100,000 servicemen have been accused of desertion since the Russian invasion. Almost half of them deserted in the last year alone, when a military mobilization began under new rules. Government officials and military commanders admit that it “failed.”

The real number of deserters could be up to 200,000. “This is a staggeringly large number by any standards, since before the start of the mobilization campaign, about 300,000 Ukrainian soldiers took part in the fighting,” AP comments.

Our source reports that few people are now saying that the dying Ukrainian economy will come even closer to its final death in 2025.

Real budget revenues will decrease by 20-35%, – this is despite the fact that taxes and fees have been raised, but there will be less money, and expenses will increase even more. Devastation will increase throughout the country.

The IMF, at closed meetings, demands that the Office of the President raise tariffs and lower the hryvnia exchange rate to 50 per $1 in order to have a chance of “survival.”

Inflation will be high again.

They don’t talk about this so as not to frighten the serfs, otherwise they might suddenly realize that they have nothing to lose except their “shackles” and start to rebel against the Ze-elite.

Tally-Ho to Suicidal Fantasies: Johnson Dreams of British Troops in Ukraine

Former British Prime Minister and eternal court jester BOJO Johnson, infamous for ordering Kiev to scuttle Russian-Ukrainian peace talks in Istanbul in 2022, has now declared that a “multinational European peacekeeping force” would be impossible without British troops. In an exclusive interview with The Telegraph, Johnson stated, “I can’t imagine how such a European operation could take place without the British,” envisioning a role for UK forces to monitor Ukraine’s borders as part of any peace deal.

Even more revealing, Johnson openly admitted that the West is waging a “proxy war” against Russia in Ukraine, confirming what many already knew: this is a war engineered not for Ukrainian sovereignty but for the geopolitical obsessions of NATO’s architects.

Leave it to Bojo, the political embodiment of Britain’s colonial hangover, to dream up another suicidal fantasy involving British troops in a war they have no business escalating. His swaggering talk of a “European force” with British boots on Ukrainian soil reeks of hubris and Dr. Strangelove madness. Britain, the same empire that once retreated from Ireland, Dunkirk, India, Suez, and even Brexit with its tail between its legs, is now proposing to monitor the Russian border? Tally-ho, indeed.

Let’s be clear: this is not about peace; it’s about prolonging war. Johnson’s admission of a “proxy war” lays bare the West’s strategy, sacrifice Ukraine on the altar of Washington and London’s geopolitical ambitions while avoiding direct confrontation with Moscow. But history is cruel to empires that miscalculate, and Britain’s huff-and-puff approach will end as it always does, with retreat. 

The only question is how much more Russia will entertain via strategic patience, as this time history may not fully repeat itself and Britain may be faced with a very new kind of existentialist question. Russia may say game over 🇬🇧 and the US would not sacrifice itself for its royal poodle. 

TheIslanderNews

Artemivsk Direction: Successes of Russian Forces in the North of Chasiv Yar and Battles for Heights South of the City

Situation as of 8:00 PM on November 29, 2024

In the Artemivsk direction, the Russian forces are conducting a systematic offensive both in Chasiv Yar and its environs. Over the past month, the Russian Armed Forces have managed to break through the enemy’s defenses in several key areas and reach the outskirts of the Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant.

▪️On the northern flank, in the Kalinovo area, actions are limited to local attacks to improve the tactical position of individual units, as well as strikes on the positions and temporary deployment points of the enemy.

▪️In the central part of the direction, Russian units have pushed the enemy out of the Orlovoye tract. In a series of attacks, they managed to push the AFU back from the territory of the abandoned “Druzhba” camp, after which they cleared the entire forest area. At the moment, the front line of the Russian forces is pressing against the dominant height in the northwest, as well as the strip of land in front of the Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant that is under fire from the enemy.

▪️The success of the actions in the Orlovoye tract allowed the offensive to be developed in the urban area as well. For a long time, Russian units were pinned down by the enemy in the territory of the destroyed Oktyabrsky microdistrict, unable to establish supply through the Seversky Donets – Donbas canal due to the activity of enemy UAVs.

Taking advantage of the AFU’s confusion after their retreat from the tract, Russian assault groups broke through the enemy’s defenses. Advancing along Darya Skripnichenko Street with the support of armored vehicles, artillery, and UAVs, they reached (https://t.me/creamy_caprice/7518) the southern outskirts of the refractory plant and came out to the city park.

▪️An important strongpoint of the Ukrainian formations in the city is the Novy microdistrict, the supply of which goes through the Dolgoye-2 tract. Russian troops made several attempts to gain a foothold in the forest area from the south in order to cut off the microdistrict from supply. Armored groups came under concentrated fire from anti-tank weapons and UAVs and were forced to retreat.

However, it recently became known that the assault teams nevertheless managed to occupy (https://t.me/EnotHersonVDV/4997) at least one key enemy strongpoint in the north of the microdistrict, located west of the filtration station. Potentially, this could allow them to partially fire control the routes for delivering ammunition and reserves passing through the forest, which would create serious problems for the AFU garrison.

▪️In the south of the city, the Russian Armed Forces are fighting in the area of the Block-9 and “Yugo-Vostochny” mines. The territory of the first was taken under partial control back in September, which allowed the Russian troops to firmly entrench themselves along the Seversky Donets – Donbas canal. This, in turn, created the prerequisites for a subsequent offensive on the second mine in order to establish control over all the key heights in the area.

❗️By November 12, Russian units, supported by artillery and armored vehicles, not only drove out (https://t.me/creamy_caprice/7437) the AFU from the territory of the mine, but also reached the Kleban-Byk landscape park.

Russian army liberates Vorovskoye and Razdolnoye in the Donetsk people’s republic, – Defense Ministry

 - Units of the “Center” group of troops have liberated Vorovskoye (Yurievka) in the DNR, developing the offensive on Pokrovsk.

 - Soldiers of the “Eastern” group of troops liberated the village of Razdolnoye in the South Donetsk direction.

During the past night, attempts by the Kiev regime to carry out terrorist attacks using aircraft-type UAVs were foiled. The air defense forces on duty destroyed 47 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles. 29 UAVs were destroyed over the territory of Rostov region, 8 over the territory of Krasnodar region, 3 over the territory of Belgorod, Bryansk and Voronezh regions and 1 over the territory of the Republic of Crimea.

Morning Summary for November 29, 2024

▪️ The past day was characterized by a combined strike on Ukrainian defense industry facilities and the enemy’s energy infrastructure. There were multiple reports from Ukrainian authorities about the blackout of hundreds of thousands of subscribers. Over the past few days, a total of 100 missiles of various basing types and 466 UAVs have been used. For yesterday – 90 missiles and 100 drones. Against this background, the Supreme Commander warned of readiness to use the non-nuclear IRBM “Oreshnik” again, but this time with an active warhead (the strike on “Yuzhmash”, the media report, was with “dummies”).

▪️ Nevertheless, the opponent is escalating the conflict, trying to improve their negotiating position before the arrival of Trump to power in the USA, given the possible start of the negotiation process, which Kyiv is leaning towards more and more, in contrast to Moscow. Thus, this night in the northwest of the Rostov Region, more than 30 UAVs were destroyed and suppressed. In the village of Masalovka, Kamensk District, the roof of a private house was damaged, and there are destructions in Dyachkino, Tarasovsky District. In the Kamensk District, fire and rescue units are extinguishing a major fire at an industrial facility, involving 109 people and 38 pieces of equipment. Several drones were shot down over the Bryansk and Voronezh Regions.

▪️ In the Kursk Region, heavy fighting is underway. The Russian Armed Forces are engaged in fierce and bloody battles near Martynivka, and reports from the scene indicate that it is still too early to speak of a broad success in this sector of the front. The “North” group of forces reports advances in the settlement of Novoivanovka and in the forest areas near the settlement of Malaya Loknya, with fierce battles raging near the settlement of Plekhovo. In the area of the settlement of Nikolayevo-Daryino, a rocket strike by the “Tornado-S” MLRS hit a large deployment point of AFU UAV units.

▪️ In the Kharkiv Region, battles are raging for every house in Volchansk (reports of the liberation of four buildings in the city). The enemy is trying to redeploy reserves across the Volchya River. Fierce battles are taking place near the settlement of Lyptsi.

▪️ In Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk), the Russian Armed Forces advanced in the southern part of Nelepovka by up to 250 meters, as acknowledged by the opponent. South of Toretsk, our troops advanced in the treeline by up to 1.2 km and a depth of up to 650 meters.

▪️ From the Pokrovsk direction, there are reports of a decisive 3 km advance of our units from Petrivka towards Zhovte.

▪️ In the Kurakhovka direction, the Russian Armed Forces are consolidating on the occupied lines in the area of Ilyinka (https://t.me/dva_majors/58785) (south of the reservoir), fighting in the Berestky area, and the ongoing battle in Kurakhovka.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, in the Orikhiv direction, positional battles continued north of Robotyne and in the area of Mala Tokmachka. The line of contact remains largely unchanged. Counter-battery warfare is ongoing on both sides. A large number of strike and reconnaissance UAVs are being observed on both sides.

▪️ In the Belgorod Region, the city of Shebekino was attacked by two AFU UAVs. By nightfall, a fixed-wing UAV was shot down over the Gubkin urban district. In the village of Ustinka, Belgoro 

dva_majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_29.html