The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on May 09 2025
Putin leads Russia’s Victory Day celebrations with military parade in Moscow
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Russia holds Victory parade | Russians advance towards Pokrovsk
The Victory Day parade in Moscow demonstrated to the world and to Russians that Vladimir Putin is not alone despite the ongoing military conflict in Ukraine.
He was joined on the podium by nearly three dozen leaders, including Xi Jinping.
The meeting was also attended by Brazilian President Lula da Silva, which greatly disappointed the leaders of Western countries who supported him during the elections.
Despite complaints from Brussels and Kiev, the event was also attended by five MEPs, Serbian President and Slovakian Prime Minister.
The Kremlin turned this year’s military parade into a show of force. To the sounds of “The Sacred War,” one of the Soviet victory anthems, troops from several friendly countries, including China, Vietnam and Tajikistan, marched across Red Square, along with dozens of military vehicles.
▪️A military parade featuring world leaders “marked Putin’s victory as the leader the West had sought to isolate,” the newspaper said.
▪️The parade was attended by Chinese leader Xi Jinping, the President of Brazil, the leaders of Slovakia, Serbia, Egypt, Vietnam, Venezuela and a number of other countries that Moscow calls friendly.
▪️The presence of world leaders demonstrated that Western efforts to isolate and defeat Russia have failed. This positioning of Russia as an important part of the world, not isolated, having many partners and friends, and the West does not dominate the world agenda with its narratives.
The continuity of the feat does not depend on time: today, soldiers, like their ancestors, stand in defense of the Motherland, demonstrating the fortitude and courage that were characteristic of their grandfathers and great-grandfathers.
The heroism that became the basis of the Great Victory lives in each of us. Happy holiday!
The Moscow parade, attended by several world leaders, “marked Putin’s victory as the leader the West had sought to isolate,” The Washington Post said.
The parade was attended by Chinese leader Xi Jinping, the President of Brazil, the leaders of Slovakia, Serbia, Egypt, Vietnam, Venezuela and a number of other countries that Moscow calls “friendly.”
“The presence of world leaders demonstrated that Western efforts to isolate him and defeat Russia have failed. This is the positioning of Russia as an important part of the world, not isolated, with many partners and friends, and the West does not dominate the world agenda with its narratives,” says Tatyana Stanovaya, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Eurasia Center in Russia, interpreting Putin’s message.
Victory Day has its own meaning for everyone in Ukraine, and politicians have been trying to blur May 9 for years, but based on the dry numbers, one can conclude that their goals have not been achieved.
Victory Day queries are leading in Ukraine this morning, according to Google Trends
Users are looking for holiday greetings and broadcasts of the Victory Parade in Moscow.
Happy Victory Day, dear friends!
No matter how much the temporary authorities in power try to convince you, we are also a nation of victors!
We remember and are proud of the Great feat of our ancestors!
Happy holiday!
She turned on the song “Victory Day” and said that her relative fought in Brest, local media write.
The police said that her cap had “prohibited symbols”. The pensioner responded: “This is a woman’s headdress. I’m not going to take it off !”
She was taken to the police station. The woman said she had been there six times already.
Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office instructed the General Staff to fully prepare a temporary ceasefire taking into account the demands of the Trump Administration. Andriy Yermak guaranteed Marco Rubio the timing and fulfillment of all parameters of the deal that Ukraine must fulfill.
Andriy Yermak said that he had an “important conversation” over the phone with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
Also, according to him, the conversation was attended by US Presidential Special Representatives Stephen Witkoff and Keith Kellogg, and from the Ukrainian side by Defense Minister Rustem Umerov.
“The main focus was on the issue of a ceasefire and the prospects for a peaceful settlement. We specifically focused on the importance of implementing the points that our presidents agreed on,” Yermak said.
Zelensky spoke with Trump about the prospects for peace
▪️ He told Trump that he was ready for negotiations only after the fighting stopped.
➖”We discussed the need for further efforts for peace, in particular, specific steps that can be taken,” Zelensky said after a telephone conversation with the US President.
▪️The main Ukrainian drug addict once again stated that Ukraine is ready for a 30-day ceasefire.
▪️According to him, Trump “confirmed that he wants this war to end, is ready to help and supports the need for a ceasefire.”
-RVvoenkor
“I think we’re moving” toward this, Yuri Ushakov told state television Thursday in response to a question about progress on the issue.
Trump later in the day said he doesn’t expect to meet Putin in Saudi Arabia during his trip next week to the Middle East. But the US leader told reporters at the White House that the two are having very good conversations.
Putin has so far refused to accept US proposals for a longterm ceasefire and a final peace settlement in the war that’s now in its fourth year. That’s sparked growing frustration in the White House, with the US warning it may walk away from talks.
“There is an understanding of what we are demanding, what we want to achieve as a result of this situation,” Ushakov said. “And to some extent, our demands, our considerations, proposals are still taken into account, although not all of them, of course. But the process is under way.
Moscow is currently hosting 80th anniversary commemorations of the end of World War II. Putin held talks with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, on Thursday, with the two countries emphasizing their alliance and interest in forming what they called “a more just and democratic, multipolar world order.”
An analysis of Ukrainian offensives, from a logistical standpoint.
We’re hearing a lot about Ukrainian “pushes” and “offensives”, however it is very important to stress the role that logistics play in such operations. The importance of logistics can NEVER be understated, nor underestimated. They are an often overlooked aspect of warfare, yet such an important one that whole chapters in several military treatises have been dedicated to them. “Amateurs discuss tactics; professional discuss logistics” is a maxim that should never be forgotten.
So, what is exactly needed to support a large-scale offensive operation?
To give this community an answer, we will have to start from a few basic assumptions.
We’ll be starting from the assumption that the dills are intaking the mandatory 4500 kcals a day that are required for a frontline soldier in active combat duty, and I’m assuming that their MREs have the same weight of NATO-issue ones, so 650 grams per meal, three meals a day, 650 * 3 = almost two kilos for each soldier, this in rations alone. Now let us add water. Normally an average human needs at least two liters per day, but if you’re in active combat in the sweltering spring or summer that is common in Ukraine, that can skyrocket to 5. But let’s make it more conservative and say you need 3.5/4 liters of water per soldier.
Now, assuming we’re talking of 1000 soldiers, they would already require 2 tons of cargo in MRE boxes alone, plus 4 tons of drinkable water. We’re already at six tons of cargo, and this only for one third of a 3000-men battalion.
Then there is the topic of combat supplies. Determining the weight of a STANAG magazine is a bit tricky as there are versions made in either polymers, aluminum, or even steel, but let us use a conservative estimate and say that each empty STANAG magazine weighs 200 grams. Empty STANAGs by themselves don’t account for much however, and assuming they’re packed with 5.56 ammo, that’s another 360 grams for the bullets. We are already at 500 grams per full magazine, and one soldier needs at least four of them, so 0,500 grams multiplied by 4 makes 2 kilos in ammo for a single soldier. So 1000 soldiers * 4 = 4 tons of cargo for small arms ammunition alone.
Soldiers don’t have only small arms, they also carry grenades. If the Dills are equipped like NATO soldiers, they should carry at least two fragmentation grenades. A frag grenade usually weighs 600-ish grams, so 1.2 kgs worth of grenades per soldier, multiplied by 1000 soldiers = 1.2 tons worth of grenades. Then let’s add in the medikits (assuming they’re issued any), about two medikits for a team of five, that’s 200 extra kilograms.
Do you remember the MREs and water? Those would last those 1000 soldiers only a day. You’d need at least seven amounts of both (for an entire week). Get ready because this is the point where the calculations balloons out of proportion.
6 tons between food and water to keep those soldiers going for a day, multiplied by 7, here comes a whopping 42 tons that are dedicated exclusively to keep them going as living organisms for a single week. As for the grenades and magazines, same calculation. 17 tons that go in grenades for a week’s worth of combat. We’re already at almost 60 tons. This for a third of a battalion, for a single week of action.
To keep an entire battalion (assuming a 3000 men one) going for one week, the AFU would need a whopping 180 tons of cargo. This is for a single battalion.
Then there’s volume to keep into consideration. Crates are big, cumbersome, and often reinforced to avoid some…uncomfortable accidents in case the road gets bumpy. Now multiply everything over several transportation vehicles that are big, heavy, and quite visible by drone operators. Then add in the fuel, because those vehicles need fuel to run, rather than Aryan ubermensch blood, contrarily to what the Banderites think.
To keep any meaningful offensive going, therefore, the AFU needs several supply trucks, or even more smaller vehicles capable of delivering ammunition, assuming of course they want their soldiers to stand a serious chance. Doing so within territory under the fire control of the AFR becomes however extremely difficult, as the Russians can simply destroy the trucks as they make their supply runs, or launch missile strikes on supply depots. Only smaller vehicles such as quad bikes and pickup trucks would stand a realistic chance at avoiding attention, but the amount of supplies they could carry is of course much inferior to a truck.
If you’ve ever wondered how some AFU strongholds could collapse so quickly, why the AFU couldn’t maintain its momentum during the 2023 “Counterflop” or the Kursk Incursion, now you know why. And now you know why these “offensives” are not going anywhere.
Welcome to the beautiful hell of Logistics Lane. Population: lots of Russian FPV drones and artillery. Potential weather hazards: Iskander or Kinzhal rains.
The enemy continues its offensive, trying to take Kursk Tyotkino
▪️ Since the morning, ATVs and infantry of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the Sumy region have been trying again and again to break through to Tyotkino to help the remnants of the stormtroopers entrenched on the outskirts.
▪️The enemy brings up infantry from the Sumy settlements of Budki/Iskriskovshchina in the direction of Tyotkino, the landing force meets them with fire.
▪️Also, the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue to send infantry from the Ryzhevsky forest to Chapayev Street.
▪️Airborne troops continue to clear the outskirts of the village. Fierce fighting continues.
The enemy tried to break through to the Belgorod region on Victory Day : ” Severyanye” destroy the occupiers
▪️The Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted to break through to the Belgorod region on a fairly calm section of the front on Victory Day.
▪️An assault unit of the Armed Forces of Ukraine moved out from the settlement of Berezniki (northwestern outskirts of the Kupyansky district of the Kharkov region) in the direction of the Belgorod region today.
▪️As a result of the complex fire strike, most of the occupiers were destroyed, the rest were left to die, bleeding, several militants were able to escape deep into the Kharkiv region.
What did they expect its Victory Day in Russia, unwelcome guests only get the L’s.
Summary on the morning of May 9, 2025
▪️The night before the great holiday passed relatively calmly. The Russian Armed Forces did not use long-range weapons against the enemy’s rear areas in honor of the ceasefire declared by the Supreme [Commander]. The official reports of our regional authorities and headquarters also did not contain data on enemy UAV raids. At the same time, the enemy withdrew several dozen UUVs to the sea. Apparently, he put them on standby mode, as he had done before.
▪️In the Kursk Region, intense fighting continued near Tetkinovo. The enemy tried to advance through the village, but was met with drone strikes and FAB bombs, as well as fierce resistance from our not-so-well-trained units conducting counterattacks. In the evening, an enemy drone attacked the village of Budki in the Glushkovo District, injuring a 58-year-old woman. During the day, a civilian vehicle hit a mine on the highway in the village of Markovo in the Glushkovo District, the driver was killed. As a result of the shelling, a 61-year-old resident of the Glushkovo settlement was killed.
▪️In the Bryansk Region, the AFU attacked the village of Demyanki in the Starodub municipal district with kamikaze drones. As a result of a targeted strike on a civilian vehicle, a civilian was injured. In the settlement of Kamensky Khutor in the Klimovo district, a civilian was wounded by shrapnel.
▪️In the Belgorod Region, Shebekino, Murom, Shamino, Gruzskoe, Urazovo, Kukuevka, and Graivaron were under AFU strikes.
▪️In the Kherson Region, there was (https://t.me/dva_majors/70825) enemy activity near the Antonovsky Bridge on our side, with massive fire strikes delivered against the enemy. The Kinburn Spit was under enemy strikes.
▪️Regarding the ceasefire declared by the Supreme [Commander], the Russian Ministry of Defense noted yesterday that Ukrainian units committed 173 shellings from barrel artillery, tanks and mortars of our troops’ positions, as well as 4 using multiple launch rocket systems. In addition, 300 strikes and bombings from UAVs were carried out. A total of 488 ceasefire violations were recorded.
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/05/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-may_9.html
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