The Age of Reason Begins

The Age of Reason Begins, by Will and Ariel Durant.

The title of this week’s post is ironic, because with all the events of the last few months I often suspect that the Age of Reason is coming to a close. The title comes from volume seven of Will and Ariel Durant’s The Story of Civilization. After I retired from Oakland University, I set about reading the entire eleven-volume series. The subtitle of The Age of Reason Begins is: A History of European Civilization in the Period of Shakespeare, Bacon, Montaigne, Rembrandt, Galileo, and Descartes: 1558–1648.

Today I want to focus on Francis Bacon, who is probably the central figure in the Durants’ book (his picture was their choice for gracing the book’s cover). They introduce him this way.

Francis Bacon, who was destined to have more influence on European thought than any other Elizabethan, had been born (1561) in the very aura of the court, at York House, official residence of the Lord Keeper of the Great Seal, who was his father, Sir Nicholas; Elizabeth called the boy ‘the young Lord Keeper.’ His frail constitution drove him from sports to studies; his agile intellect grasped knowledge hungrily; soon his erudition was among the wonders of those ‘spacious times.’

Why bring up Bacon now? Well, the last few months have seen unprecedented attacks on science and scientists: Budget cuts to the National Institutes of Health and the National Science Foundation, climate change denial and vaccine hesitancy, conspiracy theories, political requirements for government funding, the demonization of scientists such an Anthony Fauci, and more. It seems like something horrible happens every day. This makes me wonder: what is the key feature of science that must be preserved above all else? What one thing must we save? I can think of many possibilities. Science drives our economy and prosperity. Scientific discoveries have led to amazing advances in human health. Educating and providing opportunities for our young scientists is a critical investment in our future. Yet, as important as these things are, they aren’t the central issue. They aren’t what we must save lest all be lost. It’s this key element of science, its essence, that brings me to Francis Bacon.

Bacon was an early promoter of the scientific method. The Durants write

Bacon felt that the old Organon [of Aristotle] had kept science stagnant by its stress on theoretical thought rather than practical observation. His Novum Organum proposed a new organ and system of thought—the inductive study of nature itself through experience and experiment. Though this book too was left incomplete, it is, with all its imperfections, the most brilliant production in English philosophy, the first clear call for an Age of Reason.

Let me explain (and perhaps expand on) Bacon’s idea in my own words. How do we know what is true and what is not? By evidence. By experiment. By data. By comparing our ideas to what we can measure happening in the world. By accepting as true only those hypotheses that survive our best efforts to disprove them. By submitting our conclusions to rigorous peer review from our fellow scientists. Yet the current Republican administration seems to have its own ideas of what is true, regardless of the evidence. This is the very opposite of science. It is anti-science.

For example, the reality of climate change and humanity’s impact on global warming is backed by an enormous body of data. We have records of temperature, carbon dioxide concentration, and increasingly violent storms. We have sophisticated mathematical models with which we can conduct numerical experiments to predict what will happen in the future. The evidence is truly overwhelming. Yet, many—including President Trump—don’t care about the evidence. They claim climate change is a “hoax.” They don’t back these claims with facts. They don’t approach the topic as an inductive study based on experience and experiment. They believe things for their own reasons that have nothing to do with evidence or science.

Another example is vaccines. There are so many clinical studies showing that vaccines don’t cause autism. Again, the evidence is overwhelming. Yet people like Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. believe just the opposite: that autism is caused by vaccines. They don’t support such claims by presenting new evidence. While they occasionally drag up discredited studies or cherry-pick data, they don’t systematically examine all the evidence and weigh both sides. They don’t try to falsify their hypotheses. They don’t subject their ideas to peer-review. 

Still another example is the source of covid. The evidence is uncertain enough that we cannot say definitively how the covid pandemic arose. Yet, the data points strongly in one direction: Spillover from an animal to a human. Nevertheless, the government’s covid.gov website now claims that the “lab leak” hypothesis has been proven, and asserts that covid arose from sinister events in a lab in China. No, we don’t know that. While we can’t yet be certain, the evidence suggests that the cause was not a lab leak. Just because some politicians want the source of covid to be a lab leak doesn’t make it so.

One more example, of particular relevance to Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology, is cell phone safety. Although again there are uncertainties in the data (especially in laboratory experiments), the evidence suggests that radiofrequency electromagnetic radiation from cell phones does not cause cancer. I think that to say “suggests” is an understatement. The evidence is compelling that cell phones are safe. Yet RFK Jr. and others continue to argue otherwise, as if evidence doesn’t matter.

I would love to be proved wrong, and shown that, say, climate change is actually not happening. That would truly be wonderful, and millions of lives would be saved. But you have to prove that using evidence. You can’t just declare it. My dad was born in Kansas City and he used to say “I’m from Missouri and you have to show me!” That’s the gist of what it means to be a scientist. You have to show me, not tell me. Convince me with the data.

So, what is the feature of science that is essential? What aspect, if we lose it, means we no longer have science at all. I would say the belief that evidence matters. That experiments are how we determine what is true and what is not. If we give that up, all is lost and we’re back to the age of faith. Not religious faith necessarily, but an age where truth is determined not by evidence but by what is consistent with your personal beliefs, your friends and family, your wishful thinking, your fears, or your politics. The supremacy of evidence is where we must focus our resistance. That must be our line in the sand that we will not cross. That must be the hill from which we defend against the onslaught of the Republican War on Science, so that the Age of Reason can resume.

Francis Bacon, From the cover of The Age of Reason Begins.

The Durants conclude

Because he [Bacon] expressed the noblest passion of his age—for the betterment of life through the extension of knowledge—posterity raised to his memory a living monument of influence. Scientists were stirred and invigorated not by his method but by his spirit. How refreshing, after centuries of minds imprisoned in their roots or caught in webs of their own wistful weaving, to come upon a man who loved the sharp tang of fact, the vitalizing air of seeking and finding, the zest of casting lines of doubt into the deepest pools of ignorance, superstition, and fear!…

…[Bacon] repudiated the reliance upon traditions and authorities; he required rational and natural explanations instead of emotional presumptions, supernatural interventions, and popular mythology. He raised a banner for all the sciences, and drew to it the most eager minds of the succeeding centuries.

The Philosophy of Sir Francis Bacon, from Let’s Talk Philosophy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mj4N0O7QnPY

Source: http://hobbieroth.blogspot.com/2025/05/the-age-of-reason-begins.html