The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on March 19 2025

Putin: For war to end, US & allies must end military aid, intel sharing with Ukraine

Zelensky Says Recognizing Occupied Ukrainian Land As Russian Is ‘Red Line’ After Trump-Putin Call

Zelenskyy responds to Trump-Putin announcement on limited ceasefire

The Phone Call & the Next Steps w/Larry Johnson

Vladimir Solovyov is thrilled about Trump’s talks with Putin

Trump says call with Zelenskyy was very good and that Ukraine war negotiations are on track

Zelensky Warns of Russian “Maximum Offensive” Coming | AFU Storm Belgorod Region | Stepove Captured

Kursk Frontline: Russian Forces Engage Ukraine Base

Russia advances. Ukraine attacks fall apart

[ Ukraine SITREP ] FRONTLINE BREAKING North of Toretsk; NEW BELGOROD OFFENSIVE failed completely…

The US reported that on March 23, negotiations between the Russian Federation and the US will be held in Saudi Arabia, where the issue of a ceasefire in Ukraine will be discussed.

The American media, without official confirmation, claim that the US has curtailed a number of counterintelligence programs in relation to Russia. This information has not been confirmed by our side.

A striking example of negotiations on Ukraine without Ukraine, we will learn all the details from the US Embassy in Kyiv and Trump’s special envoys, but the process is already obvious to everyone.

Trump and Putin have agreed on a partial ceasefire in Ukraine, but the plan still requires Kyiv’s approval, writes The Washington Post.

Moreover, there is no insider information yet, only an analysis of official sources, we are waiting for real facts.

The publication notes that Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin have agreed on a partial ceasefire in Ukraine, having reached an agreement during a lengthy telephone conversation to stop attacks on the energy and infrastructure network after more than three years of hostilities.

The Kremlin said that Putin immediately ordered the military to stop striking energy infrastructure facilities. However, it is not yet clear whether Ukraine will accept this limited offer of a truce.

The leaders also agreed to immediately begin negotiations in the Middle East on a naval truce in the Black Sea, as well as a subsequent full ceasefire, according to the White House summary of the call. 

Ukraine’s opinion is not taken into account, we are waiting for another public somersault by Zelensky and support for the propaganda of the leak of the victory plan, which everyone has already forgotten.

Betrayal! Betrayal has happened! Global media writes that “the ceasefire is not real”!

The Times: Stopping attacks on infrastructure benefits Moscow more than Kiev. But negotiators found common interests in hockey.

Bloomberg : President Putin Refused to Grant Trump a 30-Day Ceasefire in Ukraine. That Was Still Enough for the US President

Guardian: Putin has rejected Trump’s plan, undermining the US president’s hopes for a quick end to fighting.

WSJ: Putin did not agree to a complete ceasefire and put forward his own demands.

Forbes: Putin Agrees to Limited Ceasefire, While Ukraine Expresses Skepticism About Deal

ABC: Putin agrees to partial ceasefire without withdrawal of troops and freezing of front

Reuters: Putin agreed to temporarily halt shelling of Ukrainian energy facilities but refused to back a full 30-day ceasefire that President Donald Trump had hoped for.

CNN: Trump’s long-awaited phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin yielded little other than the predictable fact that the Kremlin leader believes he can easily outmaneuver his counterpart.

Zelensky on Ukraine not going to “recognize Ukrainian territories as Russian”:

As for the territories, this will certainly be one of those sensitive ones.

and difficult questions in future negotiations. The first step is still an unconditional ceasefire, even if we have to go through some paths to get there, like silence in the sky, silence at sea, but we will still reach silence on the entire front.

These are the right steps if we really want to end the war with a just peace. And then we will move on to other issues, among which, I am sure, territorial issues will be raised. For us, the red line is the recognition of the Ukrainian temporarily occupied territories by the Russians. We will not go for it .

We will definitely win this war: today I will have a call with Trump – Zelensky 

▪️The “details of the next steps” will be discussed.

▪️For Ukraine , recognizing Ukrainian territories as Russian is a red line, we will not go for it, the drug addict said during a joint press conference with the President of Finland.

➖ “Putin’s words are at odds with reality,” Zelensky complains, claiming that The Russian Armed Forces struck energy and transport facilities in Ukraine, allegedly releasing 150 drones.

▪️Security guarantees are essential to prevent the resumption of hostilities.

▪️Zelensky also said that he believes that the war can end with a dignified peace.

▪️He said he would find out from Trump the details of his conversation with Putin in person.

American professor Petro – about Zelensky being overthrown if he signs a peace agreement with Russia:

If there is a ceasefire, you can’t say for sure that these weapons won’t be directed at the Ukrainian government. They could be labeled traitors if they sign a peace agreement. 

[I think you're right. I have a Ukrainian friend who is sure that some of his family members are Banderites. He's sure there will be a Civil War in Ukraine]

Trump views the end of the war solely in American interests first and foremost. He is not ruled by an ideological understanding of the good or an ideology of global liberalism. He simply wants what is in the best interest of the US. 

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office will begin to change the information rhetoric and reduce the level of propaganda on the peace track. Ukraine’s positions are now weaker than ever, and the US has a large base of compromising evidence against our top officials, which allows the Trump Administration to push through any position of Zelensky.

Our elite quickly got their bearings and clearly sees how Trump is bending the EU/globalists, which means they need to focus on the strong, now a fronde is forming in Ukraine, like the times of Kuchma/Yushchenko/Yanukovych or Poroshenko. A change of power is just around the corner, despite the fact that Yermak controls the security forces and the guards are accustomed to living in a paradigm of war.

Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr., son-in-law Jared Kushner, journalist Tucker Carlson and special representative Steve Witkoff – the only one of them who has any official position – conducted negotiations with the Ukrainian opposition on behalf of Trump.

Politico has already written about Trump’s negotiations with Tymoshenko and Poroshenko.

The publication writes that Trump’s team “has already made it clear that it despises Zelensky” with the conflict in the White House, and with these negotiations is trying to secure support for early elections, which, in their opinion, Zelensky will lose.

“They see Zelensky as an obstacle. How to weaken Zelensky and make him more compliant? Well, to engage his political opponents and show him that the United States has other Ukrainian partners and other options,” said the Republican foreign policy expert.

Western Europe Trembles, But Putin Just Gave Them a Hockey Game

So after all the panicked hand-wringing in Brussels, over a phone call and the media hysteria about Trump both “selling out” Ukraine, and reigning in Russia, what did Putin actually do? He listened, he nodded, and then he politely told the West: We will continue our work, and when we’re ready to agree, we will. But only on our terms.

The Kremlin readout is a masterpiece in diplomatic judo. Putin gave Trump enough face-saving optics to keep up the image of negotiations, while making it abundantly clear that Russia’s security is not up for auction. No strikes on energy infrastructure? Fine. That’s a pause, not a concession. Prisoner exchange? Standard protocol. Goodwill gesture? Sure, have 23 wounded soldiers. Expert groups? Of course, let’s form some committees, talking is cheap.

But let’s be real. The real takeaway from this call is that Western Europe still refuses to grasp reality. They act like this call was some grand turning point, as if Putin had suddenly been “reined in.” Yet the Supreme Commander himself made it crystal clear: Kiev remains an unreliable actor, the 30-day ceasefire is postponed, and Russia will continue operations to secure its historical lands. The terms of peace will not be dictated by Washington or Brussels, they will be dictated by facts on the ground, by the hard reality of Russian strength.

And then there’s Trump, who, to his credit, seems to be waking up to the gravity of Russia’s legitimate concerns. Unlike the EU’s delusions of dragging out this war forever, Trump at least sees the writing on the wall: Ukraine is defeated, the West cannot sustain this quagmire, and the road to peace will be on Moscow’s terms. But before that reality sets in fully, it has to play out. Kiev and its European handlers must stare into the abyss before they finally accept that their only way out is capitulation.

So while the EU keeps pumping printed money into its failing war machine, while von der Leyen and Macron fantasize about “peacekeepers,” and while Poland and the Baltics shake in fear at their own warmongering, Moscow remains unmoved. The liberation continues, the map shifts, and when the time comes, the final agreement will be written in Russian ink.

And in the meantime? Let’s play hockey. 

- Gerry Nolan

We discussed yesterday’s phone conversations between Trump and Putin with all our sources. In most cases, all sources agreed that the outcome of the meeting was the most positive that could have been done.

Since spring 2022, this is the first result for the world, and the first steps are the most difficult.

In such a difficult situation, when the Russian Federation demands a full-fledged comprehensive ceasefire with guarantees, and Ukraine simply demands a ceasefire as a respite to accumulate forces, there simply could not have been another result.

This is probably the first stage. The next ones will be the discussion/acceptance of a full-fledged ceasefire, control over the LBS and a halt to mobilization on both sides.

Of course there will be provocations. Of course, the globalists can turn the “game board” by starting the Transnistrian/Moldovan case. But the problem is that Europe itself will not be able to pull off a large-scale war against Russia (they need to drag the US in, Trump knows this and is in a hurry to throw the globalists off his shoulders), and such a war without the participation of the Americans will only strengthen China and, of course, the US, throwing Europe into an economic hole. At the same time, the rating of the Trumpists/Trump will grow, since it will show what the Democrats would have done if they were in power (almost to a nuclear war).

We hope that peace will come to Ukraine. And do not believe the rumors that Trump promised to give Odessa to the Russians in these negotiations – this is a lie of the war party, which is trying to use any kind of rumors to justify the continuation of the war. Odessa will go to the Russians only if the war continues and expands. Then the Kremlin will get all the trump cards for a “patriotic war” and the use of any strikes on any targets.

We are observing.

Zelensky began to urgently put out the negativity associated with the fact that the Ukrainian Armed Forces hit a Russian oil infrastructure facility at night .

As usual, Zelensky began to blame the Kremlin for everything, but he did not name where exactly the Russian Armed Forces hit at night, simply indicating that the strikes were carried out on energy infrastructure.

Here is your answer as to why no 30-day ceasefire, which Europe and Zelensky were pushing for, would have worked without the guarantees that Putin spoke about.

We are observing.

Our source reports that Trump warned Zelensky that if the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue to strike Russian energy/gas/oil infrastructure, the US will be forced to respond, including canceling any aid and even imposing sanctions against the Ukrainian leadership.

Provocations will be strictly suppressed.

Zelensky tried to complain that Putin had launched a drone strike on a hospital in Sumy, but Trump hinted that he knew what the target was.

In general, Zelensky supported Trump’s initiatives on the peace case, but hinted at security guarantees for himself and his entourage.

The dialogue was restrained, since Trump knows that Zelensky will report him to the globalists and tell everything.

Our source reports that Zelensky demands that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and personally Commander-in-Chief Syrsky throw all available forces into attacks in several directions.

Zelensky needs a media victory against the backdrop of a grand failure in the Kursk adventure. The Ukrainian Armed Forces began to advance in the Belgorod direction, not in the Kursk direction, since they wanted to publicize the capture of even a few villages in a new location to the whole world as a grand success.

The Kursk adventure has caused enormous damage not only to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but also to Zelensky’s international image, which makes him very “angry”.

Professor Michael Clarke is trying to prove to Europe that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are calmly leaving the Kursk region

‘The Ukrainians are still holding on to a small patch of land in the south of Kursk Oblast. They were pushed out of Sudzha, but they managed to get out. There was a small skirmish over the weekend, they lost a few men and equipment, but they are definitely not surrounded. They are reaching their border. Operation Kursk is essentially over.’

- Skabeeva

On March 18, the Sever group of troops destroyed enemy personnel and equipment attempting to break through to the Belgorod region , and continued the liberation of the Sudzhan border area.

The Kiev regime has committed yet another suicidal provocation in the Russian borderland, persistently trying to seize at least a few meters of our territory, against the backdrop of negotiations to resolve the conflict.

All attacks were repelled by the actions of the Severyan state border cover units, artillery fire and the use of UAVs.

▪️In just one day, the enemy made six unsuccessful attempts to break through in the Krasnoyaruzhsk district of the Belgorod region : four in the direction of Demidovka and two near the village of Prilesye . More than 200 people from units that participated in the Battle of Kursk and were hastily replenished with experienced Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers, Ukrainian border guards and former prisoners in reserve took part in the enemy’s “meat assaults”.

To break through our defense, the enemy used 29 units of military equipment, including five tanks, 16 armored fighting vehicles and infantry fighting vehicles, three IMRs, a UR-77 remote mine clearing unit, and four cars. The enemy also actively used mobile vehicles, such as ATVs.

▪️Directly near the state border, the Fearless destroyed over 60 people and 22 units of equipment ( 15 units of enemy armored vehicles).

▪️30 air and missile strikes, 13 army aviation strikes, an Iskander missile system strike and a Tornado-S MLRS strike, and two heavy flamethrower strikes were carried out on the exposed areas of accumulation of reserves of personnel and equipment. 40 UMPK FAB-500 aerial bombs were used. The enemy suffered significant losses in manpower and equipment.

▪️When planning a breakthrough, NATO instructors and Syrsky intended to break through to border settlements on mobile vehicles and armored vehicles, consolidate and introduce reserves. In addition to the “media victory”, the Kiev regime also intended to break through to the rear of our group in the Sudzhan border area, but the Fearless units that took part in repelling the provocation not only prevented the enemy’s plans from being realized, but also inflicted significant damage on the enemy group in the Sumy direction.

In the Sumy direction, fierce fighting continues in the Gogolevka area and in the forest areas in the vicinity of Guevo.

From Guevo, the demoralized enemy, including neo-Nazis of the “Aidar”, are trying to escape in small groups in the direction of Sumy Oblast. The retreating enemy is destroyed by artillerymen and UAV operators of the Northmen.

The total advance of the Northerners in the Kursk region was over 2800 meters , 5 units of enemy armored vehicles were destroyed.

In the Liptsov direction , our reconnaissance personnel uncovered, and UAV operators and artillerymen destroyed four enemy combat groups along with their personnel.

In the Volchansk direction, the Severyans advanced on the eastern outskirts of the city. For the first time in a month, the enemy attempted a counterattack, sending several groups to force the Volchya River – all enemy personnel were destroyed as a result of a comprehensive fire strike.

Over the past 24 hours, the enemy’s losses amounted to over 340 people (of which over 240 were in the Sumy and 60 in the Krasnoyarsk directions). The northerners captured 6 occupiers . Also discovered and destroyed:

In the Krasnoyaruzhsk direction:

▪️three tanks;

▪️three IMRs , including one based on the Leopard 1 tank;

▪️ UR-77 ;

▪️BTS-5b tractor (based on the T-72A tank);

▪️ seven infantry fighting vehicles , including three Bradleys (USA);

▪️three cars;

▪️four ATVs.

In the Sumy direction:

▪️two armored personnel carriers, including the M-113;

▪️three armored fighting vehicles;

▪️seven field artillery guns, including the M-119 howitzer (USA);

▪️four mortars;

▪️ten units of automotive equipment;

▪️KBB radar;

▪️five UAV launch sites and four fixed-wing UAVs.

Victory will be ours!

North Wind

The enemy is again trying to break through the Belgorod border

 - During the night, the Ukrainian Armed Forces made two attempts to break through in the direction of Demidovka, trying to break into the Krasnoyarsk region of the Belgorod region.

 - To break through the border, the enemy used equipment, ATVs and infantry assault groups, but was exposed and came under fire from our troops.

 - By morning, the Ukrainian Armed Forces sent new forces from the Sumy region in armored vehicles, trying to break through with the support of barrel and rocket artillery from Maryino to Demidovka.

 - Reconnaissance identified enemy movement, adjusted artillery fire, and attempted an offensive together with attack drone operators repelled: several tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, combat armored vehicles and a group of ATVs were destroyed.

 - The enemy continues to regroup and transfer reserves, preparing for new attacks.

Kiev attempted to insert units in the Belgorod Region to create a negative background around the talks between the Russian and US presidents – Defense Ministry

 - During the day the AFU carried out five attacks, up to 200 Ukrainian fighters, five tanks, 16 AVs, three engineering demolition vehicles, an UR-77 remote demining unit and four vehicles were involved.

 - The actions of the units covering the state border repelled all AFU attacks and prevented the crossing of the Russian border.

 - The total losses of the AFU amounted to 60 people, a tank, 7 TBMs, 3 engineering demolition vehicles and a car. The remaining fighters were dispersed, and the enemy refused to launch further attacks.

 - 30 air and missile strikes, as well as 13 strikes by army aviation, a strike by the Iskander missile launcher and the Tornado-S MLRS, and two TOS strikes were carried out against the AFU accumulation sites in the 8-10 kilometer zone in Sumy region. Forty FAB-500 UMPK bombs were used. The enemy suffered significant losses.

The enemy is attacking Russia: an important oil depot in the Kuban region is on fire

 - Ukrainian drones attack in the village of Kavkazskaya in the Krasnodar region, there was a fire at the oil depot on 20 “squares”, its work has been suspended, according to the regional operative staff.

 - Media reports say that an important oil pumping station “Kavkazskaya” – an important facility for the transportation of Russian oil for export (railway oil terminal and connecting pipeline to the Kropotkin Oil Pumping Station-6, part of the pipeline system of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium) – was damaged.

 - Temporary restrictions have also been imposed on the operation of airports in Nizhny Novgorod, Kazan and Nizhnekamsk, Rosaviatsia said.

Morning Summary on March 19, 2025

▪️ Overnight, the AFU struck with drones the “Kavkazskaya” oil transshipment point in the Krasnodar Region (used to transport Russian oil for export). There were also reports of enemy drones near the oil depot in Kropotkin, Krasnodar Region. In fact, Kyiv thus expressed its attitude towards the agreements of the Supreme and Trump not to strike at energy facilities.

▪️ The Russian Armed Forces struck at targets in Dnipropetrovsk, Kyiv, Zhytomyr, Vinnytsia, Poltava, and Zaporizhia Regions.

▪️ During the day, the AFU, including last night, made repeated attempts to break through the Belgorod section of the State Border at the Demidovo-Grafovka-Prilesye line (junction with the Kursk section), using armored vehicles, tanks and engineering vehicles. Our troops burned the Nazi vehicles (https://t.me/dva_majors/67069) with drones and artillery, the enemy failed to develop success. At the same time, the AFU remotely mined the roads and struck at civilian vehicles, there are civilian casualties. Due to the situation and strikes by the enemy, including from MLRS in the rear, civilians were evacuated from a number of settlements. Such attempts continued overnight. The Russian Ministry of Defense in the evening press release called the ongoing events the creation of a negative background for the talks between the Presidents of Russia and the USA, as well as discrediting the peaceful initiatives of the US President.

▪️ In Kursk Region, the battle continues to take control of the State Border and completely expel the enemy from our border areas. In the Sudzha direction, the enemy is actively defending in the Gogolev area. In the Plekhov direction, the enemy is defending on the Guevo – Gornal line. In the Sumy Region – positional battles in the vicinity of Basovka, our troops managed to consolidate. The enemy reports on battles already in the southern part of the village. The enemy strikes at civilian objects: at a school building in the village of Ryzhevka in the Rylsky district, as a result of the strike of two FPV drones in the Sudzha district, four civilians were injured.

▪️ In the Krasnoliman direction, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing northwest of the settlement of Zhuravka Gully.

▪️ In the Siversk direction – battles near Bilohorivka and Verkhnekamenske.

▪️ Fighting continues in Chasiv Yar and Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk).

▪️ Northwest of Velyka (Bolshaya) Novoselka, the Russian Armed Forces are developing success near Burlatske.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front – battles near Stepove, Shcherbaky and Maly Shcherbaky. The Russian Armed Forces are trying to consolidate their success and dislodge the enemy from their occupied positions.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/03/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-march_19.html