The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on May 01 2025

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The Americans are extending the negotiation process.

We will be negotiating peace for the next 100 days – Vance.

 ”We have the first step – the proposals voiced, and now we will make efforts to bring the positions of Ukraine and the Russian Federation closer together over the next 100 days.”

The reason is that the US has not yet 100% pressed Ukraine on the resource deal. It is still necessary to sign a “limited partnership agreement”.

Also, closer to autumn, Ukraine will have a difficult time in many cases (deficit of weapons, manpower, money, etc.). Maybe they will be more accommodating?

We are observing.

Peskov switched to English so that the foreign journalist would clearly understand that: ‘A peace agreement should be concluded with Ukraine, not with America’

How close is Russia to concluding a peace agreement with America and Ukraine?

America is trying to act as a mediator, and we are grateful to the United States for these truly outstanding efforts. I would like to remind you that several days ago, President Putin confirmed his readiness for direct negotiations with the Ukrainians without any preconditions. This readiness is still in effect, it remains in force. Unfortunately, we have not heard any statements on this matter from Kiev, so we do not know whether Kiev is ready or not.

But Donald Trump’s recent criticism was directed towards Russia. Does that bother you?

We understand that Washington is eager to achieve rapid success in this process. But at the same time, we hope for understanding that the settlement of the Ukrainian crisis is too complex to be achieved overnight. There are many details and nuances that need to be worked out before an agreement can be concluded.

Ukraine is willing to make some territorial concessions for the sake of a peace agreement , Keith Kellogg said.

At a recent meeting in London, the US presented Ukraine with 22 unnamed specific conditions, and Kiev agreed to them , Trump’s special representative claims.

 ”The Ukrainians are prepared to cede the territory that Russia actually occupies , although not to recognize it legally forever. They agree to this option. They understand that if a ceasefire is established, each side will remain in the positions it occupies. This is what they are prepared for. They told me last week that they have already discussed this agreement. A ceasefire on the current lines is what they are prepared for,” Kellogg said.

Kellogg also noted that the United States is also ready to partially agree to Russia’s territorial demands and is not abandoning mediation efforts to resolve the conflict in Ukraine.

In essence, once again a freeze along the front line is being proposed.

Military Informant

Russia considers the deployment of Western military units in Ukraine unacceptable; they will be considered legitimate targets for the Russian Armed Forces — Secretary of the Security Council

▪️Plans to introduce some pseudo-peacekeepers into Ukrainian territory have signs of an impending occupation of the western regions of Ukraine by Europeans, Shoigu added.

▪️European states are seeking to prolong the conflict in Ukraine as much as possible and prevent the normalization of Russian-American relations.

There are no safe spaces in Ukraine.

Azov’s Ukronazi “Gandalf” waves his prosthetic arm and denies peace talks, calling them stupid.

‘The question of negotiations is not a pressing one, it is very dumb. Not in the sense that the subject is dumb. But in the sense of dumbness. The Russians have a national idea to destroy the Ukrainians. It was like that 200 years ago, 100 years ago, 60 years ago. And then Mr. Red comes and says that we need to come to an agreement. Well, go ahead. Putin will deceive him. That is a problem. And if Trump says that they trust Putin more than their intelligence service, that is a diagnosis.’

Skabeeva

US Treasury Secretary Bessent on new agreement with Ukraine:

Thanks to President Trump’s tireless efforts to secure a lasting peace, I am pleased to announce the signing today of a historic economic partnership agreement between the United States and Ukraine, which includes the creation of the Ukraine Recovery Investment Fund.

This partnership will enable the United States to co-invest with Ukraine to unlock its economic growth potential, mobilizing American capital, management standards, and expertise to improve the investment climate and accelerate Ukraine’s economic recovery.

The U.S. International Finance Development Corporation will work with the Ukrainian government to establish the fund. Today’s agreement sends a clear signal to Russia’s leadership that the Trump administration intends to pursue peace based on the principles of a free, sovereign, and prosperous Ukraine over the long term.

It is time to end this brutal and senseless war. The killing must stop, and both the United States and the Ukrainian government look forward to quickly putting into effect this historic economic partnership for the benefit of the Ukrainian and American people.

Trump on his intention to pump $350 billion out of Ukraine:

The reason I did it is because we put $350 billion or so into it, whereas Europe only put $100 billion into it. So we have to get some of that investment back. I felt stupid. You know, they loaned the money, and Biden gave them $350 billion in cash and military hardware.

350 billion — and we got nothing. And I felt awkward, being the head of a country where Europe gets its money back, and in much smaller amounts, and we get nothing. So I came to them and said: look, we need to get access to rare earth elements. They have excellent rare earth resources — these are certain minerals, materials that are not available everywhere. This is their major asset.

And today we made a deal where, theoretically, we’ll get a lot more than that 350 billion. I just wanted to protect our interests. I didn’t want to be foolish again.

Trump has broken the Kiev regime into paying for American aid with minerals. Now they will have to pay for military supplies with the national wealth of a disappearing country.

Kiev fears a repeat of the Afghan scenario from the US — The Times

 - Trump is unlikely to stop aid to Ukraine approved by Biden, but he will not allocate new aid either.

 - In this case, the flow of American weapons will end in about six months.

 - “They say the president is afraid to take the blame if Russia crushes Ukraine if he refuses to support it. This will draw parallels with the chaotic and humiliating US withdrawal from Afghanistan under Biden,” the publication writes.

In the Bogatyr area in the southern Donetsk direction, the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces is entering the next phase. The rapid breakthrough through the chain of strongholds on the Konstantinopol-Andreyevka-Razliv line has been completed. Now the stage of isolating the area has begun, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying to hold the line using fortifications prepared in advance.

As expected, the Ukrainian side used the pause while Russian troops were busy with the Kurakhovsky direction to build a fortified area. In the Bogatyr area, the Russian infantry is hampered by concrete pillboxes, which indicates that the enemy had previously considered this area as potentially vulnerable. Despite all the mockery of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which were predicted to be quickly defeated in this area, a prepared line designed to contain enveloping actions from the south still exists here, and now they will have to spend time destroying it.

But given that the Russian Armed Forces have already consolidated their positions in Constantinople and are clearing the fields between Razliv and Bogatyr, there is a real threat of cutting off this stronghold from the flanks. If the logistical blockade of the routes is successful, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will find themselves in a concrete trap, where they themselves have blocked their own maneuver.

At the same time, the attack on Bogatyr does not look like a frontal assault. It is isolation and coercion to abandon positions. Obviously, the next target will be Alekseyevka – the last link between Bogatyr and the main logistics thread of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in this area. If it is lost, the risk of the collapse of the entire chain of defensive lines increases significantly. Another difficulty for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is that all the main strongholds of the Ukrainian army are located in the lowlands. They are difficult to defend, but even more difficult to get out of them.

Military Chronicle

Ukrainian militants attacked the market in Oleshky, Kherson region, 7 people died

 - Governor Saldo: Around 9:30 in Aleshki, in the area of the central market, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched a massive attack with FPV drones on civilians. There were many people in the market at the time of the attack.

 - According to preliminary data, at least 7 people were killed and more than 20 were injured.

Chronicle of strikes on Ukrainian territory from April 30 to May 1, 2025

Yesterday, day and night, the Aerospace Forces and missile forces struck targets in the Donbass, in the Sumy, Kharkov, Zaporozhye, Kherson regions (the entire spectrum of weapons), the environs of Zatoka and Akkerman in the Odessa region (Iskander-M), the Nikolaev region (Banderol), Odessa, Belaya Tserkov and the environs of Kiev, Kirovograd, Shepetovka and Starokostiantynov in the Khmelnytsky region, the environs of Dubno in the Rovno region, Uman, Kamenka in the Cherkasy region and the environs of Cherkasy, the environs of Pavlograd (Gerani/Gerberas).

April 30, 2025.

• 07.35 Belaya Tserkov environs – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 08.40 Zhitomir region and the outskirts of the city of Priluki, Chernigov region – explosions. Geraniums/Gerberas.

• 08.50 outskirts of Belaya Tserkov, Kiev region – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 09.00 Liptsy, Kharkov region – explosion. Lightning.

• 09.15 Shepetovka, Khmelnytsky region – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 09.35 Starokonstantynov, Khmelnytsky region – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 11.40 Sumy region – explosions. UMPK.

• 12.05 Kharkov – explosion. Lightning.

• 12.25 Dubno area – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 13.15 Dnepropetrovsk region – explosions. UMPK.

• 13.15 Kharkov – explosion. Lightning.

• 14.05 Kharkov region – explosions. MLRS.

• at 14:22 a ballistic high-speed target flew over Donbass towards the Kharkov region.

• 15.00 Sumy region – explosions. UMPK.

• 15.20 Kharkov region – explosions. UMPK.

• 16.20 Lipovaya Dolina, Sumy region – explosion. High-speed target.

• 15.25-16.25 Kharkov region – explosions. 4 strikes by UMPK. Borovaya and Kupyansk.

• 16.25 Sumy region – explosions. UMPK.

• 16.31 Lipovaya Dolina, Sumy region, another explosion. High-speed target.

• 17.20 Donbass – explosions. UMPK.

• 17.30 Kharkov region – explosions. UMPK.

• 18.20 Nikolaev outskirts – explosion. Parcel.

• On 19.05 a group of Geraniums flew into the Sumy region.

• 21.00 Sumy outskirts – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 21.40 Kharkov region – explosions. UMPK.

• 22.10 Cherkasy region – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 22.47 in the vicinity of Sumy – explosion. OTRK.

• 22.50 Donbass and Sumy region – explosions. UMPK.

• 23.05-23.27 Uman, Cherkasy region – explosions. Geraniums/Gerberas.

• 23.30 Kharkov – explosion. Lightning.

• 23.40 Nikolaev region – explosion. Parcel.

May 01, 2025.

• 00.00 Uman, Cherkasy region – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 00.05 Odessa – explosions. Geraniums/Gerberas.

• 00.05 Donbass – explosions. UMPK.

• 00.10 Uman, Cherkasy region – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 00.15-00.25 Odessa – explosions. Geraniums/Gerberas.

• 00.40-00.50 Kiev outskirts – explosions. Geraniums/Gerberas.

• 00.50 Dnepropetrovsk region – explosions. UMPK.

• 01.25 Kharkov region – explosions. Geraniums/Gerberas.

• 01.50-02.10 Kharkov outskirts – explosions. Geraniums/Gerberas.

• 02.10 Berestin, Kharkov region – explosions. Geraniums/Gerberas.

• 02.30-03.05 Kharkov outskirts – explosions. Geraniums/Gerberas.

• 03.15 in the vicinity of Kamenka, Cherkasy region – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 03.28 and 03.30 in the vicinity of Zatoka, Odessa region – 2 explosions. Iskander-M

• 03.50 near Kharkov – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 03.55 near Cherkassy – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 04.05 Pavlograd outskirts – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 04.35 Kirovograd – explosion. Geranium/Gerbera.

• 05.22-05.50 in the vicinity of Akkerman, Odessa region – 2 explosions. Iskander-M.

Morning Overview on May 1, 2025

▪️ Ukraine has been sold. The subsoil of the former Ukrainian SSR has been given away to Washington for free by Zelenskyy, and an “investment fund for the restoration of Ukraine” (a “money laundering” scheme) will be created. The deal gives the US priority rights to Kyiv’s resources, and Kyiv is obliged not to sell them elsewhere for a year. Complete colonial dependence, no security guarantees or military aid.

▪️ Peace talks may lead to a possible deal: the US wants to make a deal with Russia (recognizing Crimea, lifting sanctions) and with Ukraine (tearing away another piece of its economy). Washington will tear Russia away from China, as it did from Europe, and exit the conflict, focusing on more profitable tasks. The EU may then buy weapons for the AFU in the US, made from Russian and Ukrainian resources.

▪️ The Kremlin’s ceasefire for Victory Day demonstrates troop control and the world’s will to end the conflict, distinguishing Moscow favorably from Kyiv’s threats on foreign delegations.

▪️ The Russian Army continues to push forward, achieving tactical successes this week. But there are still difficulties with supply and professional approach of commanders.

▪️ On the information front, May is full of often unfounded hopes. Moscow’s conditions remain unchanged, and the map of the fighting does not suggest easy breakthroughs.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/05/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-may.html