Projections
FanGraphs has released its projected standings and playoff odds for 2025. The Giants, as you might expect, are predicted to be a .500 (81-81) team!
The NL West will be dominated by the Dodgers, again no surprise there, and the second-best team is expected to be the Diamondbacks. That’s not unreasonable given their two top starters and their quality lineup. What’s interesting to Giants fans is that the Padres are looking vulnerable. The Giants have a real shot at third place.
Sorry for the poor image. Click the link above to see the whole thing.
Going from a .500 team to a playoff team will require at least five more wins. Ten would be better. Last year it took 86 wins (Tigers and Royals) in the AL and it took 89 wins (Mets and Braves) to make the cut.
Are the 2025 Giants ten games better than the 2024 team? I don’t see it. A five game improvement looks possible with the addition of Adames and (we hope) bounce back years from Doval and Ray and continued improvement from Harrison, Fitzgerald, and Ramos.
The 2025 team is relying on internal solutions. The young corps needs to step up and contribute!
–M.C.
p.s. David Pinto at Baseball Musings had a post a while back with a proposal to re-arrange the divisions so more teams have a chance at the playoffs. It’s a little rough, but it’s a cool idea. It at least addresses some of the things Zo mentioned in his last post.
Source: http://raisingmattcain.blogspot.com/2025/02/projections.html
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